Amber Integrated GA Poll: Walker Holds Narrow Lead in Senate Race, Kemp Pulling Away in Governor’s Contest

The public affairs and survey research firm Amber Integrated has released a new poll measuring the opinions of likely voters in the upcoming Nov. 8 general election in Georgia.  The survey was conducted from Nov. 1-2, 2022, and included a pool of 600 likely voters.  It has a margin of error of 4% at a 95% confidence interval. It is weighted by party affiliation, gender, age, education and race/ethnicity. 

Key findings include:

• Herschel Walker (R) has a narrow lead over Raphael Warnock (D) in the race for US Senate, with the ballot standing at 48 to 45 just days before the election.

  • While Warnock has near universal support from Democrats (95 percent say they will vote for him compared to just 3 percent for Walker), he is losing independents by a 13-point margin.

  • There is also a significant gender gap: Warnock carries women by a three-point margin, while men support Walker by a nine-point margin.

  • More than half (58 percent) of respondents have already voted. Of those who have already voted, 51 percent voted for Warnock, compared with 43 percent for Walker. Of the 42 percent of respondents who have not yet voted, Walker has a distinct advantage, with those voting on election day, who favor him 55-36.

• Brian Kemp is leading challenger Stacey Abrams, 51-43, in the race for Georgia governor.

  • Crucially, Kemp leads among independent voters by a 23-point margin (55-32).

  • While Kemp commands a large, 17-point lead amongst voters over 65, he is actually beating Abrams in all age groups, with his smallest lead (2 points) coming amongst voters 18-29 years of age.

  • As in the Senate race, the Democrat candidate has an advantage amongst early and absentee voters. Amongst the 58 percent of respondents who have already voted, Abrams is leading, 50-45. Conversely, Kemp has a major advantage with those voting on election day, who favor him 62-34.